World Cup group permutations: What do England need to qualify?

Who needs what to make the knockout phase? We take a look at the World Cup group stage permutations…

England face Panama in their second World Cup group game on Sunday. But what do Gareth Southgate’s side need to happen to progress to the knockout stage? It’s time to get the calculator out…

Staying or going home?

Qualified: Russia, Uruguay, France, Croatia
Knocked out: Egypt, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Peru

Below are the permutations for all eight World Cup groups as they currently stand.

Tiebreakers

Goal difference
Goals scored
Head-to-head result
Head-to-head goal difference
Head-to-head goals scored
Fair play points
Drawing lots

Group A Group A Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points Russia 2 2 0 0 8 1 +7 6 Uruguay 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6 Egypt 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0 Saudi Arabia 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

Remaining fixtures:

Uruguay v Russia, 3pm, Monday June 25

Saudi Arabia v Egypt, 3pm, Monday, June 25

Permutations:

Russia and Uruguay have qualified for the last-16

The hosts will win Group A if they win or draw against Uruguay

If Uruguay beat Russia they will win Group A

Egypt and Saudi Arabia have been knocked out

Group B Group B Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points Spain 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4 Portugal 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4 Iran 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 Morocco 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0

Remaining fixtures:

Iran v Portugal, 7pm, Monday, June 25

Spain v Morocco, 7pm, Monday, June 25

Permutations:

Spain and Portugal both need a point to guarantee a place in the last-16

Spain can qualify if they lose and Portugal lose by a bigger margin or Spain lose by no more than one goal and Portugal and Iran draw 0-0, 1-1, 2-2 or 3-3.

Portugal can qualify if they lose and Spain lose by a bigger margin to Morocco

Portugal and Spain have to produce a better result than the other to win the group

Iran must beat Portugal to qualify

Iran can win the group if they win and Spain lose

Morocco are out

Group C Group C Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points France 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6 Denmark 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4 Australia 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1 Peru 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0

Remaining fixtures:

Denmark v France, 3pm, Tuesday, June 26

Australia v Peru, 3pm, Tuesday, June 26

France have qualified for the last-16

Permutations:

France need just one more point to win the group

Denmark need one point to qualify – or Australia to lose or draw with Peru

Denmark will win the group if they beat France

For Australia to qualify they must beat Peru and hope Denmark lose by enough goals to overturn the goal difference

Peru are out

Group D Group D Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points Croatia 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 Iceland 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 Argentina 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1

Remaining fixtures:

Nigeria v Argentina, 7pm, Tuesday, June 26

Iceland v Croatia, 7pm, Tuesday, June 26

Croatia have qualified

Nigeria can qualify with a draw or win against Argentina if Iceland lose or draw against Croatia

If Argentina beat Nigeria in their final game and Croatia beat Iceland, Argentina go through. They will also go through if they beat Nigeria, Iceland beat Croatia, and Argentina’s goal difference betters Iceland

Iceland must also beat Croatia in their final game to give themselves the chance of qualification and currently have a better goal difference than Argentina

Group E Group E Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Poinits Brazil 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 4 Switzerland 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 4 Serbia 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 Costa Rica 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0

Remaining fixtures:

Serbia v Brazil, 7pm, Wednesday, June 27

Switzerland v Costa Rica, 7pm, Wednesday, June 27

Brazil can qualify for the last 16 with a draw or win against Serbia

Serbia could also qualify with a draw if Switzerland lose to Costa Rica and they can amass a better goal difference

Switzerland can make the knockout rounds with a win, or with a draw as long as Serbia draw or lose to Brazil

Costa Rica are out

Group F Group F Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points Sweden 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 Mexico 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 Germany 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 South Korea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Remaining fixtures:

Germany v Sweden, 7pm, Saturday, June 23

South Korea v Mexico, 4pm, Saturday, June 23

Mexico v Sweden, 3pm, Wednesday, June 27

South Korea v Germany, 3pm, Wednesday, June 27

Permutations:

Sweden will qualify with a win over Germany if South Korea lose to Mexico

Mexico will qualify if they beat South Korea and Germany draw or lose to Sweden

Germany will be knocked out if they lose to Sweden and Mexico avoid defeat to South Korea

South Korea will be knocked out if they lose to Mexico and Sweden avoid defeat to Germany

Group G Group G Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points Belgium 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 England 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3 Tunisia 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0 Panama 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0

Remaining fixtures:

Belgium v Tunisia, 1pm, Saturday, June 23

England v Panama, 1pm, Sunday, June 24

England v Belgium, 7pm, Thursday, June 28

Panama v Tunisia, 7pm, Thursday, June 28

Permutations:

Belgium will reach the last 16 if they beat Tunisia and Panama fail to beat England

England will reach the last 16 if they beat Panama and Tunisia fail to beat Belgium

If Tunisia lose to Belgium, they will be knocked out if England have avoided defeat to Panama

If Panama lose to England, they will be knocked out if Belgium have avoided defeat to Tunisia

Group H Group H Team Played Won Drawn Lost GF GA GD Points Japan 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3 Senegal 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3 Poland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0 Colombia 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Remaining fixtures:

Japan v Senegal, 4pm, Sunday, June 24

Poland v Colombia, 7pm, Sunday, June 24

Japan v Poland, 3pm, Thursday, June 28

Senegal v Colombia, 3pm, Thursday, June 28

Permutations:

Japan will qualify for the last 16 if they beat Senegal and Poland v Colombia is a draw

Senegal will qualify for the last 16 if they beat Japan and Poland v Colombia is a draw

Poland or Colombia will be knocked out if they lose and Japan and Senegal draw

Source.